Based on the last three seasons, Jimmie Johnson has to be a favorite to win his fourth consecutive Sprint Cup title. The NASCAR world gets the championship fight under way this weekend in New Hampshire with the start of the Chase for the Sprint Cup with 11 other drivers fighting to knock off the No. 48.Can they do it? FanHouse writers Holly Cain and Geoffrey Miller chime in on that and plenty more as they go Wheel2Wheel about Jimmie Johnson:
Will Jimmie Johnson make it four championships in-a-row?
Geoffrey Miller: If you would have asked me, oh, four weeks ago the answer would be a resounding yes. But since Johnson took over and won at Indianapolis, he hasn't exactly lit up the Sprint Cup Series. There's been no Johnson just flat knocking 'em dead with top-fives and wins, and instead we've seen some chinks in the armor of the No. 48.
At Atlanta, the No. 48 looked out to lunch before a few adjustments brought the car back around. A dose of bad luck with a broken axle took them out of contention. Last week at Richmond, though, should have been a little more telling on what we'll see from Johnson to start the Chase, and the news wasn't good. The No. 48 wasn't a factor and left feeling quite frustrated from a race track that many drivers say has direct parallels to success at New Hampshire.
Johnson has made a habit of being exceptionally consistent in the Chase and being smartly aggressive to win more races in Chase competition than anyone to earn those three straight titles. I don't see the same pattern happening this season, meaning title No. 4 is out of reach in 2009.
Holly Cain: While Tony Stewart has put together an astounding debut as an owner/driver, I still think this championship is Johnson's to lose. The experience of his team will be the difference here. They've worked together under the Chase pressure before and more importantly, succeeded. Time after time after time.
This team is not approaching this as though they are trying to win a fourth straight, they look at it as they are trying to win the 2009 championship, wisely off-setting the pressure of this historical accomplishment.
Johnson is the most underrated three-time champion in NASCAR history and deserves more credit as a driver. Yes, he is one of the sport's true "nice guys", but he's also aggressive when he needs to be and smart. There have been times in past Chase races where Johnson could have settled for a good points day. Instead he dug in and battled for a win racing his teammates just as hard as he does Kurt Busch. And he always finds a way to step up his game when it matters most. His eight victories in the 30 previous Chase races is the class of the field. As is Johnson.
Can we consider Jimmie Johnson and Chad Knaus to be the best driver-crew chief combination in the sport's history?
HC: Statistically, that goes to Dale Inman who was with Richard Petty for seven championships and 198 wins. Again, the argument centers on the demands of different eras.
The sophistication of today's cars combined with the multi-million dollar budgets has made this a whole new game. The fact that Knaus and Johnson have been together for eight seasons in a climate of run-for-the-buck and instant gratification is noteworthy in itself. They are the only combination to win three straight titles together (Yarborough didn't have same crew chief for his three championship runs).
And no duo since Petty and Inman have pulled off four titles given the increased demands and challenges of modern day NASCAR.
GM: There's been a ton of great crew chiefs and even more great drivers in the sport, and occasionally those combinations have melded together into a tremendous bond. But let's be real for a minute. NASCAR is at its most competitive point that it has ever been in. There's never been an era where 15 to 20 teams have a legitimate chance to win every weekend, and yet, the No. 48 became just the second car to ever win three championships in a row.
NASCAR is a game about the driver, but its also much more than just the driver. Because of that, Knaus deserves a lot of credit for creating a race car that wins and continuing a team culture that emphasizes perfection.
Sure, there's been some duos -- the Evernham-Gordon one comes to mind, but the staying power wasn't there -- that have been potent, but none have come at this incredibly competitive time in Sprint Cup history. That's what makes this duo the best ever.
Would winning four straight titles secure Johnson's position as one of the best all-time?
GM: It's always tough to gauge where a current athlete will fit in with the legendary names of old, and how their statistics stack up. Obviously Peyton Manning and Tom Brady are two of the NFL's best quarterbacks right now, but what's an adequate judge of how well they would have fared against the likes of Joe Montana or Bart Starr?
NASCAR racing is no different thanks to different eras of drivers, cars and competition. Johnson certainly should be regarded as one of the all-time greats for the stats he's put up in such a short period of time.
But one thing Johnson has against him is the fact that the Chase format was introduced when he started to hit his stride.
Johnson never won a championship in the season-long accrual format, and his three titles would have pared to just one without the Chase. In 2008, Carl Edwards earned enough points to top Johnson by 16 points if the traditional format was used. Jeff Gordon would have waltzed to a title by 353 points in 2007 while Johnson would have narrowly beat Matt Kenseth in 2006 by 4 points.
HC: In most simple terms, yes. By definition, if Johnson wins a historic fourth consecutive championship he will have dominated in a way no other driver has before.
The argument here is whether you can compare Johnson's four titles under NASCAR's Chase for the Championship format against those of past multi-winners. Yes you can, but it's irrelevant. Johnson has no control over the format. He won the titles with the rules he was given.
Each era provided a unique set of challenges, with each champion equally deserving. Richard Petty, for instance, won the first of his seven titles in 1971, when there were 48 races and the vast majority on one type of track - short track. In his 1974 title year, the competition was such that there were only five race winners and Petty won a third of the races.
When Cale Yarborough won his three straight titles from 1976-78, 54 percent of the races were won by only two drivers - Yarborough and Darrell Waltrip. What does that say about the competition?
Dale Earnhardt won his seven titles when the seasons averaged only 29 races. How would it have affected things if he had to sustain that title run for 36 races and have the points re-set in a 10-race playoff?
Who knows how Johnson would have fared under a 50-race schedule or how Petty would do with today's cars and depth of competition. But Johnson absolutely belongs in the company of Petty, Earnhardt, Yarborough, Waltrip and Gordon.















Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
9-19-2009 @ 9:35AM
Kim said...
Way to go, Holly! I will echo your sentiments. Geoffrey....so disappointed in your lack of faith in my main man, Jimmie! :-)
Holly is correct. This year's championship is Johnson's to lose and history shows us that Chad Knaus and Jimmie Johnson know exactly what to do to secure that title run during the Chase. The number 48 team has faultered the past couple of weeks, but look for little to no mistakes being made during the Chase. Holly is also correct that Johnson is aggressive when he needs to be and nobody knows better than Jimmie and Chad that come Chase time, you have to be aggressive and go for the wins.
As much as I am personally impressed by Tony Stewart's success this year, I do not see him running away with the championship for some of the very same reasons mentioned above. They are a new team.
I truly believe the fight this year will be between the three Hendrick's drivers. I hate to say it, but I don't think Mark Martin will not take it away either. He has been very inconsistent all season long. Yes, he has four wins, but the rest of the season, had lots of bad luck. Jeff Gordon has been coming on strong the past few weeks. I look for him and Jimmie to switch the number one spot in points numerous times during the Chase. But at the end of the day, my money is still on Johnson!
Kim
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9-19-2009 @ 10:07AM
alex said...
let mark win don"t need johnson to win again
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9-19-2009 @ 11:47PM
Greg said...
Kim
Get your money ready..Martin is going to win it.
Greg
By the way I sent you an e-mail 2 weeks ago and no reponse after the first one>
Reply
9-23-2009 @ 8:16PM
Kim said...
Hey Greg!
I didn't get another email from you. You did get my response to the first email, right? Hubby is on the computer much more than I am, and sometimes he will delete emails if he doesn't know who they are from, which is probably what happend here. He is spam happy! Please do email me back and I will defintely answer! :-) Sorry about that!
Kim
9-20-2009 @ 1:53AM
xxxsexyveronica said...
Wow no many jimmy johnson fans on these blogs i suppose; where are the posts?
While you fans seems like you made up your mind about the chase winner,i'll be a little more prudent and say the champ is still an open game between johnson, gordon, stewart, martin.
Sure i would love to see johnson win the 4th but jef wants his 5th, stewart his due 3rd,gordon his due 4th and martin the best year of his racing career and they are all hungry for more.After the first 3-4 races we all will have a pretty good idea of the winner.
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9-24-2009 @ 7:40AM
Kim said...
Veronica,
Yes it's true, there are very few Johnson fans on these boards. I have felt like a loner for a very long time, but am pleased there are now at least two other posters who claim Jimmie is their number one driver. I try to look at the bright side....at least he doesn't receive the "hateful" posts that Dale Jr. and Kyle Busch receive. I'd rather see few positive posts and no negatives than a bunch of drive-by bloggers (As Anna calls them), just running off at the mouth about what a "cheater" Johnson & Knaus are. Those are the more typical posts. Ugh!!!!
Kim
9-20-2009 @ 2:07AM
xxxsexyveronica said...
I meant to say JG, his 5th champ.
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9-20-2009 @ 1:29PM
illsell4u said...
Veronica,
I am somewhat confused by all the people that are saying Martin is having the best year of his career. Has he not finished 2nd in points four times back when the Champion was actually the best driver of the whole year? Unlike today when they call a guy a Champion simply because he races well at the end of the year.
4 wins for the year has been great for him but he has been very inconsistant. I would say all 4 of the years he finished 2nd were better years than this.
mbl
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9-20-2009 @ 6:00PM
xxxsexyveronica said...
Today results at new hampshire should help you change your mind illsell4u. I was only repeating
martins words after couple wins of his.
You may be right about the 4 years finishing 2nd
but this year is the best yet because he will finish first and finally get the big prize.
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9-23-2009 @ 12:51PM
Maria said...
of course as a jimmie johnson fan i would like him to win his 4th championship, but if he has to lose this year let it be to mark martin. what a class act!
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9-24-2009 @ 10:20PM
xxxsexyveronica said...
Unforcenally kim,there used to be a time when the
the cheater label used to stick on chad better than superglue.
However by now such a label will not stick anymore no matter how hard those fly by bees will try.Chad and jimmy has not been caught in any infraction for at least couple years.
Nevertheless at the speedways grand stands or on the net JJ fans are still hard to come by.It's not just these pages;i thought it be a little better for jimmy here when it comes to fans but it's not so.At times i wonder if the problem is not JJ himself,meaning his mellow, calm,easy going character,his angel attitude.Fans love hot tempers i guess.
It's defenetely not his talent, his skills, his performance results because we all know on such issues he receives high grades and it's not just the 3 champs. Jimmy had been a top 3-5 contender for 4 years or more before winning the first championship in 06 and ended his seasons in those top spots even when the chase started in 05 and others won the champ.The positive side out of all,you said it: no hateful posts or comments elsewhere.
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9-25-2009 @ 2:30AM
NZCR14 SAID said...
AIN'T FOR NOTHING THAT JJ was elected to SAINT JIMMY, VERONICA.HI BABE.YOU never heard about THE GODS OF NAZCAR did you?, lol.
SATAN/LUCIFER(tony stewart) is now an HENDRICK SAINT TOO. What a coincidence? Since the gods of nascar was edited they noe added DEJ & TS.
WOW i like your FLY BY BEES better than my DRIVE BY bloggers.Maybe i help you publicize it.LMAO. About it,ciao sweetie.
9-25-2009 @ 11:09PM
TurvKen2 said...
jimmie johnson is taking his no. 4 championship. you the man jimmie get'r done!!!
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